There is an expression on Wall St. that sheep get slaughtered. But in the past 10 years since the credit crisis, sheep have done pretty well as Quantitative Easing has pushed most markets through the roof. But let’s be clear about one thing, our underlying hypothesis which I’m sure most here will agree with: Inflation is not what the Fed is saying. We can debate about what real inflation is, however we can first agree that the stated CPI and other economic numbers that are tied to the official inflation figures are highly manipulated. As we explain in Splitting Pennies – the world is not as it seems.
So what’s the real inflation figure? There’s a lot of misinformation and bad data here so we can only look at micro economics for some answers. Take a look at Ohio and Tennessee, where the difference between official CPI and real food inflation is 39%:
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